Research guide

Effect sizes, confidence intervals and p-values

Report magnitude, direction, units and uncertainty alongside significance tests; separate exploratory analyses and avoid treating nonsignificance as proof of no effect.

Illustrative charts and a data-analysis notebook in an academic workspace
Prepared by: Dr. Didgar Research Institute · Last revised: · 2 min read
Expected deliverables
  • Write an estimate/interval/unit/importance-threshold table.
Decision workbook and example

Keep the substantive question visible

Describe how large a difference or association is and what it means for the research question. Report original units, relevant populations and timeframes. Standardized effects can help comparison but may obscure the meaning of the original scale.

Understand what a p-value does not establish

The ASA statement warns against interpreting a p-value alone as the probability that the null hypothesis is true, effect magnitude or scientific importance. Do not reduce research decisions to a threshold. Sample size and design influence the evidence.

Report uncertainty and assumptions

Present the estimate, interval and calculation method. Frequentist coverage concerns the procedure’s repeated-sampling behavior, rather than a probability assigned to a fixed parameter after the interval is observed. Model assumptions, dependence, selection bias and missingness can limit interpretation.

Address multiple analyses

Separate primary confirmatory outcomes from exploratory analyses and explain multiplicity handling. A nonsignificant finding alone demonstrates neither equivalence nor absence of an effect. Equivalence requires its own question, margin and suitable design.

A transparent reporting template

Teaching template: estimated difference [value and units], interval [lower, upper], method [model and settings], key limitation [limitation]. These placeholders are not actual results. Add the analytical sample and sensitivity to important decisions; an isolated number is insufficient.

Practical research checklist

  • State effect, direction and units.
  • Report the interval and method.
  • Include all primary analyses.
  • Keep conclusions within design and evidence.

Worked case and implementation decisions

The following is a fictional teaching case. Do not use its numbers or wording as actual study findings.

A teaching mean difference of 2 points with CI95=[−1,5] leaves a small negative and a larger positive effect compatible with the model. It proves neither no effect nor practical usefulness. Report units, interval method and design. If 4 points was the prespecified practical threshold, this interval remains uncertain relative to it. Distinguish raw and standardized effects and explain the denominator and target population rather than treating all effect sizes as interchangeable.

Worked case and implementation decisions
StageTeaching exampleVerification question
EstimateHypothetical 2 pointsAre units and direction clear?
CI95Illustrative [−1,5]Are method and assumptions suitable?
Importance4 is only a teaching thresholdWas the actual threshold justified prospectively?
InterpretationUncertainty remainsIs p distinct from size and precision?
ReportRaw, standardized and limitsIs the standardizing denominator defined?

Exercise output: Write an estimate/interval/unit/importance-threshold table.

Sources and further reading

Official sources for verification and further reading

This guide supports research learning and planning; align implementation with the actual design and institutional requirements. Editorial policy
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